7.5 Fundamentals of Credit Analysis - 7.5 Fundamentals of Credit Analysis
Key Concepts
- Credit Risk
- Financial Ratios
- Credit Ratings
- Debt Covenants
- Cash Flow Analysis
Credit Risk
Credit Risk is the potential for loss due to a borrower's failure to meet their financial obligations. It is a critical factor in credit analysis, as it determines the likelihood of default and the associated financial impact.
Example: A company issuing bonds faces credit risk if there is a possibility that it may not be able to make interest payments or repay the principal amount when the bonds mature.
Financial Ratios
Financial Ratios are key metrics used to assess a company's financial health and creditworthiness. Common ratios include the Debt-to-Equity Ratio, Interest Coverage Ratio, and Current Ratio, which help analysts understand a company's ability to meet its debt obligations.
Example: A Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 2.0 indicates that for every dollar of equity, the company has $2.00 of debt. A higher ratio may signal higher financial risk.
Credit Ratings
Credit Ratings are assessments provided by credit rating agencies (such as Moody's, Standard & Poor's, and Fitch) that indicate the creditworthiness of a borrower. Ratings range from AAA (highest) to D (default), providing a quick reference for investors.
Example: A company with a credit rating of AA is considered to have a very strong capacity to meet its financial commitments, while a rating of BB indicates a moderate risk of default.
Debt Covenants
Debt Covenants are contractual agreements between a borrower and lender that impose certain restrictions or requirements on the borrower. These covenants are designed to protect the lender's interests and reduce credit risk.
Example: A debt covenant may require a company to maintain a minimum level of liquidity or prohibit the payment of dividends if certain financial ratios fall below specified thresholds.
Cash Flow Analysis
Cash Flow Analysis involves evaluating a company's ability to generate sufficient cash flow to meet its debt obligations. This analysis focuses on operating, investing, and financing cash flows to assess the company's liquidity and solvency.
Example: A company with strong operating cash flow but negative investing cash flow may be expanding its business but needs to ensure it can cover its debt payments from its operational activities.